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Risk Factors

What Drives Mortality — And What You Can Change

Explore the metabolic, behavioural, and environmental risk factors behind global deaths. See how much of each country's mortality burden is attributable to modifiable risks.

Select Country
Est. Preventable Deaths
of total death rate attributable to modifiable risks
Top Modifiable Risk
Metabolic Risks
est. share of deaths
Behavioural Risks
est. share of deaths
Estimated Preventable Mortality — World
Approximate share of each cause attributable to modifiable risk factors (GBD estimates)
Risk Factor Categories
The three major categories of modifiable risk factors
Major Risk Factors — Global Evidence
Cause-by-Cause Modifiability — World
Estimated death rate and modifiable share for each cause
Cause Death Rate Modifiable % Est. Preventable Rate Key Risk Factors
Risk Factor Interaction Network
How risk factors cluster together and compound mortality risk
Methodology Note

Population-attributable fractions (PAFs) shown here are approximate global averages from GBD 2024 published summaries. Actual country-level PAFs vary based on local risk factor prevalence. These estimates provide a general framework for understanding the relative contribution of modifiable risk factors — they are not precise country-specific calculations.

Risk Factor Flows — World
How risk factors connect to disease categories (estimated attributable deaths)
Risk Factor Comparison
Compare risk profiles between two countries
vs
Risk Factor Trends
How risk factor exposure has changed since 1990
Risk Factor Exposure Atlas
Choropleth map showing risk factor prevalence by country
Source: WHO, NCD-RisC, IHME via risk_prevalence.json. Values represent latest available year.

Mortality Risk Factor Attribution

What drives global death rates? Modifiable risks behind the numbers

Behind every cause of death lies a set of modifiable risk factors. High blood pressure contributes to heart disease and stroke. Tobacco drives lung cancer and COPD. Poor diet increases the risk of diabetes and cardiovascular disease. The Risk Factors tool quantifies these relationships using IHME comparative risk assessment data.

Explore metabolic risks (blood pressure, glucose, cholesterol, BMI), behavioural risks (smoking, alcohol, diet, physical inactivity), and environmental risks (air pollution, unsafe water, occupational hazards). See which risk factors drive the most deaths in any country and how that burden has changed since 1990.

Frequently Asked Questions
What are the biggest modifiable risk factors for death?

High systolic blood pressure, tobacco use, high fasting plasma glucose, and dietary risks are consistently the leading modifiable risk factors for death globally. Air pollution (both ambient and household) also contributes significantly, especially in low- and middle-income countries.

How many deaths are attributable to smoking?

Tobacco use is responsible for approximately 8 million deaths per year worldwide, according to IHME estimates. It is a major risk factor for cardiovascular disease, cancer, and chronic respiratory disease. Use the Risk Factors tool to see country-specific smoking-attributable mortality.

What is risk factor attribution in mortality data?

Risk factor attribution estimates the proportion of deaths that can be linked to specific modifiable exposures. The IHME Global Burden of Disease Study uses comparative risk assessment frameworks to calculate how many deaths would be prevented if risk factor exposure were reduced to theoretical minimum levels.

Do risk factors differ between rich and poor countries?

Yes, substantially. High-income countries face higher burdens from metabolic risks (obesity, high blood sugar) and tobacco, while low-income countries are more affected by environmental risks like unsafe water, household air pollution, and child malnutrition.