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Age Analysis

How Mortality Shifts Across the Lifespan

Explore how the causes of death change dramatically from youth to old age. The risk profile of a 20-year-old looks nothing like that of a 70-year-old — this page shows you why.

Methodology Note

Age-specific estimates are derived from country-level rates adjusted using well-established age-pattern curves from epidemiological literature. These are population-level approximations, not exact age-disaggregated data.

Select Country
Cause Composition by Age Group — World
Estimated share of mortality risk by cause for each age bracket
Risk Profile at Each Age
Drag the slider to see how your risk profile changes
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Leading Cause by Age Group
The #1 cause of death shifts dramatically across the lifespan
Age Group #1 Cause Est. Rate Share #2 Cause Dominant Category
Key Patterns in Age-Mortality Relationships
Youth (15-29): The Injury Peak
Young adults face their highest relative risk from injuries — both unintentional (road traffic) and intentional (self-harm). In many high-income countries, injuries are the #1 killer in this age group.
Middle Age (45-59): The NCD Crossover
Non-communicable diseases — particularly cardiovascular disease and cancer — begin dominating the risk profile. This is where lifestyle interventions and screening have the greatest impact.
Elderly (75+): Exponential Rise
Death rates increase exponentially. Cardiovascular disease, cancer, respiratory conditions, and neurological disorders (including dementia) account for the vast majority of deaths.
Actuarial Survival Curves
What fraction of people survive to each age? Compare countries, eras, and sexes.

Simplified survival curves derived from age-group death rates. Actual actuarial tables use more granular data. See Insurance & Actuarial page for detailed analysis.

Years of Life Lost by Cause
Causes ranked by premature mortality impact — years lost before age 70
Note: Years of Life Lost (YLL) measures premature mortality by weighting deaths at younger ages more heavily. A death at age 20 contributes more YLLs than a death at age 80. This metric highlights causes that kill people in the prime of life.
Age-Specific Death Rate Trends
How mortality rates have changed over time for each age group
Rectangularisation of Mortality
Survival curves have become more "rectangular" — more people live to old age

See the full rectangularisation analysis on the Insurance page.

Cause-Elimination Life Tables
How many years would we gain by eliminating specific causes?

See the full cause-elimination analysis on the Insurance page.

Mortality Compression
Deaths are increasingly concentrated into a narrow age range

Mortality compression describes the phenomenon where the distribution of ages at death becomes increasingly concentrated around the modal (most common) age of death. As life expectancy rises, deaths shift from being spread across all ages to clustering tightly around ages 80-90 in developed nations.

This is distinct from rectangularisation (which describes the survival curve shape) — compression focuses on the variability of age at death decreasing over time.

Key Indicator
IQR of Death Age
Shrinking interquartile range = more compression
Typical Pattern
SD Decreasing
Standard deviation of adult lifespan falling over decades
Implication
More Predictable
Age at death becoming more predictable for insurers

See the full mortality compression animation on the Insurance page for interactive visualisation.

Age-Specific Mortality Patterns

How causes of death change across the lifespan

Mortality risk is not uniform across the lifespan. A newborn faces entirely different health threats than a teenager, a middle-aged adult, or an elderly person. The Age tool breaks down death rates by age group for any of 204 countries, revealing which causes dominate at each stage of life.

This tool is invaluable for understanding where preventive interventions should be targeted. For example, road safety programmes are critical for reducing mortality among young adults, while screening and chronic disease management become more relevant in middle and older age. Explore the data to see how your country's age-specific mortality profile compares to global averages.

Frequently Asked Questions
What are the leading causes of death by age group?

Causes of death vary dramatically by age. Neonatal conditions dominate in the first month of life, while injuries (especially road traffic) are the leading killer of young adults. Cardiovascular disease and cancer become dominant after age 50. The Age tool lets you see this breakdown for any country.

What kills young people aged 15-29 the most?

Globally, road injuries, self-harm, and interpersonal violence are the leading causes of death among 15-29 year olds. In sub-Saharan Africa, HIV/AIDS remains a major killer in this age group. These patterns differ significantly between countries and by sex.

How does cause of death change as you get older?

As people age, the mortality profile shifts from external causes (injuries, violence) to chronic non-communicable diseases. By age 70+, cardiovascular disease, cancer, chronic respiratory disease, and neurological conditions (including dementia) account for the vast majority of deaths in most countries.